Long Range Box Office Forecast: EXPEND4BLES

Expend4bles

Lionsgate

September 22, 2023 (WIDE)

Opening Weekend Range: $13M-$18M

Domestic Total Range: $31M-$45M

PROS:

The return of Jason Statham, Sylvester Stallone, and Dolph Lundgren—plus the addition to the franchise of Megan Fox, Tony Ja, and others—could help maintain interest from the core older male audience who drove the prior three films at the box office.

Competition from action films will be relatively light in late September and throughout October.

CONS:

This sequel is nine years removed from the third film, which already saw domestic revenues decline 54 percent to $39.3 million from 2012’s second Expendablesentry ($85 million).

Unlike prior installments, this new film doesn’t boast the kind of marquee action star ensemble (Schwarzenegger, Ford, Gibson, Snipes, Banderas, Van Damme, Willis, et al.) that served as the commercial hook across the first three chapters.

Source: Boxoffice.com